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ELEMENTARY PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS |
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Class Hours: 2.0 |
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Credit Hours: 3.0 |
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Laboratory Hours: 2.0 |
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Revised: Fall 08 |
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Catalog Course
Description: |
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Topics include elementary
probability theory, concepts of descriptive statistics, discrete and
continuous distributions, hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, sample
sizes, correlation, regression, multinomial and contingency tables. Noncalculus based. Computer applications will be
investigated. |
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Entry Level Standards: |
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Students must be able to
read, write, and speak at the college level. |
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Prerequisites: |
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High school algebra I and algebra
II and ACT math score of at least 19; or DSPM 0850 or equivalent math
placement score. |
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Textbook(s) and Other
Course Materials: |
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Textbooks: Triola, Mario F. Statdisk Student Laboratory Manual and Workbook, 10th ed. Pearson Addison-Wesley.
(Not required by all instructors.) |
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I. Week/Unit/Topic
Basis: |
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Week |
Topic |
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1 |
Introduction to statistics
(1-1); types of data (1-2); critical thinking (13); design of experiments
(1-4); frequency distributions (2-2); histograms (2-3) (computer applications
will be investigated during each of the remaining weeks as needed) |
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2 |
Statistical Graphics (2-4);
measures of center (3-2), variation (3-3), and relative standing (3-4); boxplots and exploratory data analysis (3-5); review |
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3 |
Test 1; fundamentals of
probability (4-2); addition and multiplication rules (4-3 & 4-4) |
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4 |
Random variables,
probability distributions, and expectation (5-2); Binomial probability
distributions (5-3); the mean, variance, and standard deviation for binomial
distributions (5-4) |
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5 |
Review; Test 2; standard
normal distribution (6-2) |
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6 |
Applications of normal
distributions (6-3); the Central Limit Theorem (6-5); |
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7 |
Confidence intervals and
minimum sample sizes for estimating a population proportion (6-2); estimating
a population mean (sigma unknown) (7-4) |
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8 |
Minimum sample size in
estimating a population mean (7-3); review; Test 3 |
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9 |
Basics of hypothesis
testing and P-values (8-2); testing a claim about a population proportion (8-3) |
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10 |
Testing a claim about a population
mean using a t test (8-5) |
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11 |
Testing a claim about
standard deviation or variance (8-6); review; Test 4; |
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12 |
Linear regression (10-2)
and correlation (10-3); |
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13 |
Chi-Square tests;
Multinomial experiments and Goodness-of-fit Test (11-2); Contingency Tables:
Tests of independence and homogeneity (11-3) |
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14 |
Review; Test 5; Review for
final |
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15 |
Final Exam Period |
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II. Course Objectives*: |
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A. |
Collect and assemble quantitative
data making wide use of tables and graphs. VI.1,4,6 |
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B. |
Analyze a given set of data
and accurately describe the data by interpreting the significance of the
mean, median, mode, and standard deviation. VI.1,4,5,6 |
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C. |
Use the basic principles of
probability. VI. 1,2,4,6 |
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D. |
Develop a working knowledge
of probability and its application to the binomial and the normal
distribution. VI. 1,2,3,4,5,6 |
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E. |
Understand sampling and sampling
distributions and their applications in business and industry.
VI.1,2,3,4,5,6 |
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*Roman numerals after
course objectives reference TBR's general education
goals. |
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III. Instructional
Processes*: |
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Students will: |
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1. |
Use a scientific calculator
and/or computer software to compute descriptive statistical
values and to aid in analysis of real world problems. Technological Literacy Outcome, |
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2. |
Complete laboratory
exercises that include topics such as collection and analysis of real world
data. Mathematics Outcome, Active
Learning Strategy, Transitional Strategy |
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3. |
Work collaboratively on
laboratory exercises to explore probability and statistical
concepts. Mathematics Outcome,
Technological Literacy Outcome, Active Learning Strategy, Communication
Outcome |
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4. |
Construct charts, tables,
and graphs to provide visual descriptions of numerical data. Mathematics Outcome |
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5. |
Identify and translate
real-life data into empirical probability models. Mathematics Outcome, Transitional Strategy |
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*Strategies
and outcomes listed after instructional processes reference TBR's goals for strengthening general education knowledge
and skills, connecting course work to experiences beyond the classroom, and
encouraging students to take active and responsible roles in the educational
process. |
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IV. Expectations for Student Performance*: |
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Upon
successful completion of this course, the student should be able to: |
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1. |
Construct
a frequency distribution. A |
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2. |
Graph
a frequency distribution as a histogram. A |
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3. |
Solve
for the mean of raw data scores and frequency distributions. B |
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4. |
Solve
for variance and standard deviation of raw data scores and frequency
tables. B |
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5. |
Determine
the mean, variance, and standard deviation of a probability
distribution. D |
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6. |
Calculate
mathematical expectation. D |
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7. |
Solve
for the probability, mean, variance, and standard deviation of
binomial experiments. C |
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8. |
Solve
basic probability problems. C |
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9. |
Apply
the addition and multiplication rules. C |
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10. |
Define
and use the rules of complementary events. C |
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11. |
Find
the z-score. B |
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12. |
Utilize
the z-score when finding probabilities of nonstandard normal
distributions. D |
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13. |
Algebraically
find the value of the random variable when given the corresponding area under
the density curve. D |
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14. |
Utilize
the central limit theorem to find the probabilities of sample means. D,
E |
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15. |
Test
hypotheses about population proportions and means. D, E |
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16. |
Utilize
confidence intervals. D, E |
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17. |
Calculate
appropriate sample sizes for tests of proportions and means. D, E |
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18. |
Determine
linear correlation and determine a linear regression equation. E |
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19. |
Test
hypotheses involving multinomial experiments and contingency tables. E |
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*Letters
after performance expectations reference the course objectives listed above. |
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V. Evaluation: |
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A.
Testing Procedures: |
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Students
are evaluated primarily on the basis of tests and a final exam. A minimum of
5 tests and the final exam are suggested. In addition, instructors may
consider using quizzes, homework, or other assignments for assessment as
deemed appropriate. |
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B.
Laboratory Expectations: |
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Instructor
should use Statdisk (Lab Manual available), Excel,
Java Applets, and/or other statistical computer packages to investigate and
analyze data in support of classroom lectures. Consider at least one lab activity
for each chapter covered in the textbook. |
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C.
Field Work: |
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As
assigned by instructor. Suggest instructor consider at least one project
involving data collection and investigation using methods discussed in class. |
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D.
Other Evaluation Methods: |
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None |
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E.
Grading Scale: |
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93
- 100
A |
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VI. Policies: |
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A.
Attendance Policy: |
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B.
Academic Dishonesty: |
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Individual
instructors must distribute their policy on academic dishonesty during the first
week of classes. In addition to other possible disciplinary sanctions that
may be imposed as a result of academic misconduct, the instructor has the
authority to assign either (1) an F or a zero for the assignment or (2) an F
for the course. |
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C.
Accommodations for disabilities: |
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If
you need accommodations because of a disability, if you have emergency
medical information to share, or if you need special arrangements in case the
building must be evacuated, please inform the instructor immediately. Please
see the instructor privately after class or in his/her office. Students must
present a current accommodation plan from a staff member in Services for
Students with Disabilities (SSWD) in order to receive accommodations in this
course. Services for Students with Disabilities may be contacted by going to Goins 127 or 131 or by phone: 694-6751(Voice/TTY) or
539-7153. |
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